{"id":27872,"date":"2025-02-21T11:52:55","date_gmt":"2025-02-21T14:52:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/centrosabia.org.br\/2025\/02\/21\/secas-superpopulacao-e-fome-o-futuro-exige-justica-climatica\/"},"modified":"2025-02-21T12:01:44","modified_gmt":"2025-02-21T15:01:44","slug":"secas-superpopulacao-e-fome-o-futuro-exige-justica-climatica","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/centrosabia.org.br\/es\/2025\/02\/21\/secas-superpopulacao-e-fome-o-futuro-exige-justica-climatica\/","title":{"rendered":"Secas, superpopula\u00e7\u00e3o e fome: o futuro exige justi\u00e7a clim\u00e1tica"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Carlos Magno de Medeiros Morais
Coordenador de Mobiliza\u00e7\u00e3o Social do Centro Sabi\u00e1<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Foto: Ricardo Ara\u00fajo <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Segundo dados recentes da Organiza\u00e7\u00e3o das Na\u00e7\u00f5es Unidas (ONU), a popula\u00e7\u00e3o mundial atingiu 8,2 bilh\u00f5es de pessoas e, at\u00e9 2080, deve crescer em mais 2 bilh\u00f5es, alcan\u00e7ando os 10,2 bilh\u00f5es. Ap\u00f3s esse pico, a tend\u00eancia \u00e9 que comece a diminuir gradualmente. No entanto, essa proje\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 uma m\u00e9dia, e m\u00e9dias nem sempre s\u00e3o a melhor forma de analisar n\u00fameros t\u00e3o amplos. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Como eu costumo dizer, \u00e9 dif\u00edcil fazer uma m\u00e9dia entre bananas e jacas; ambas s\u00e3o frutas, mas muito diferentes entre si. Esse exemplo nos leva a um ponto crucial: enquanto a Coreia do Sul tem uma taxa de fertilidade de apenas 0,7, no N\u00edger ela \u00e9 quase 10 vezes maior. Essa grande disparidade est\u00e1 intimamente ligada ao acesso a servi\u00e7os de sa\u00fade, ao desenvolvimento econ\u00f4mico e a fatores culturais.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ou seja, em termos gerais, pa\u00edses mais pobres tendem a ter taxas de crescimento populacional mais elevadas, enquanto pa\u00edses ricos apresentam taxas extremamente baixas. Isso \u00e9 um aspecto fundamental a ser considerado quando discutimos fome e mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas: a m\u00e9dio prazo, teremos mais pessoas para alimentar em regi\u00f5es mais pobres e com menor oferta de alimentos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Observando a realidade brasileira, encontramos propor\u00e7\u00f5es semelhantes. Por exemplo, o munic\u00edpio de S\u00e3o Jo\u00e3o do Jaguaribe, no Semi\u00e1rido do Cear\u00e1, apresenta uma taxa de fertilidade pr\u00f3xima a 3,5, com um PIB per capita de cerca de R$10.500,00. J\u00e1 \u00c1guas de S\u00e3o Pedro, em S\u00e3o Paulo, tem uma taxa de fertilidade de apenas 1,2 e um PIB per capita superior a R$41.000,00. Vivemos em um mundo marcado pela fome e pela pobreza, e justamente nessas regi\u00f5es \u00e9 que se concentra e continuar\u00e1 concentrando a maior parte da popula\u00e7\u00e3o mundial. N\u00e3o por coincid\u00eancia, essas \u00e1reas tamb\u00e9m ser\u00e3o as mais afetadas pela crise clim\u00e1tica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Esses dois exemplos, o N\u00edger, na \u00c1frica Subsaariana, e S\u00e3o Jo\u00e3o do Jaguaribe, no sert\u00e3o do Cear\u00e1, t\u00eam em comum sua localiza\u00e7\u00e3o em regi\u00f5es secas do mundo. Essas \u00e1reas cobrem mais de 40% da superf\u00edcie do planeta e est\u00e3o entre as mais vulner\u00e1veis \u00e0s mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas, embora sejam as que menos contribu\u00edram para esse problema.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Estamos plenamente cientes de que n\u00e3o h\u00e1 solu\u00e7\u00e3o para essa quest\u00e3o sem uma abordagem de justi\u00e7a clim\u00e1tica, que reconhe\u00e7a a responsabilidade dos pa\u00edses ricos em financiar processos de adapta\u00e7\u00e3o clim\u00e1tica nessas regi\u00f5es. Esses recursos precisam ser direcionados ao n\u00edvel comunit\u00e1rio, envolvendo tomadores de decis\u00e3o locais e engajando lideran\u00e7as para uma transforma\u00e7\u00e3o dos sistemas alimentares. A transi\u00e7\u00e3o para o novo regime clim\u00e1tico deve ser baseada nos princ\u00edpios da Agroecologia e o direito dessas popula\u00e7\u00f5es a uma alimenta\u00e7\u00e3o saud\u00e1vel deve ser o farol que guia qualquer decis\u00e3o que impacte o futuro delas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n


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